Rain showers are expected to roll through the South Coast this evening, while a possibility of Thunderstorms on Tuesday could produce some significant rain totals.
A slight chance of showers is forecast through 4 p.m. today, paired with wind gusts up to 15 mph. More precipitation is possible this evening, with an 80% chance of rain, according to the National Weather Service in Oxnard.
Additional showers are expected throughout the day Monday, with an 80% chance throughout the day as the low-pressure system moves south from the Pacific Northwest. Accumulations between one-third of an inch and 1 inch of rain are expected early in the week, according to weather officials.
Weather officials are monitoring the chance of thunderstorms developing by Tuesday, with the forecast indicating a 90% chance of showers. There is a chance for heavier rainfall Tuesday for the South Coast and Santa Ynez Mountains, said Carol Smith, meteorologist with the Weather Service.
The wet weather may carry over through Wednesday, with a slight chance of rain in the forecast. In total, rainfall totals are expected to range between 1.5 inches and 4.5 inches through next week, Ms. Smith said.
“With the longer duration of this system, rainfall rates should stay below those that cause significant debris flows, but the threat of thunderstorms on Tuesday warrants some concern,” read a Weather Statement posted on the Weather Service’s website
Residents are advised to pay attention if any emergency notifications are issued due to the rainfall.
“We’re always in close contact with the emergency managers when it comes to these kind of events,” Ms. Smith said.
Conditions are expected to clear up by the end of next week, with sunny skies and temperatures in the upper 60s expected, according to the Weather Service.
As of Saturday afternoon, the county has only received 55% normal-to-date rainfall. For the water year, which will run through Aug. 31, the county has received 43% of normal water-year rainfall, according to the county Flood Control District.
Lake Cachuma, the South Coast’s primary reservoir, was at 71% capacity as of Saturday afternoon, with 137,278 acre-feet of water. Jameson Reservoir was at 79.5% capacity and Gibraltar Reservoir was at 35.6%, according to the county data.